Super Bowl XLV Sunday Service Plays 2/6/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

We have received requests from the following companies:
Do not post any copywritten info from the following servvices.

Apple Handicappers
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Sports Memo Crew which include:
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Preferred Picks
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jumperjack (keith)
-------

****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Super Bowl XLV

<table class="tablehead widetable" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="100%"><tbody><tr class="stathead" style="background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(0, 0, 0);"> </tr><tr class="colhead" valign="top"> <td colspan="3">SUNDAY, FEB. 6</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow" valign="top"> <td>

</td> <td><center>Pittsburgh Steelers (14-4) vs. Green Bay Packers (13-6)
Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas, 6:30 p.m. ET, Fox

</center></td> <td>

</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Barney44]

Uncle Caesar

The play is on the over in the SB, it is down to 44, grab that number while you can.

GL to all.

 

[SMITTYWANTSWINNERS]

Football Jesus

Free pick... "I bet UNDER 23 in the 1st half...as soon as it gets posted in Vegas I will bet that there will be NO OVERTIME, which I have never lost."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI Super Bowl Prediction

Season
Straight Up: 152-103 (.596)
ATS: 111-148 (.429)
ATS Vary Units: 470-651 (.419)
Over/Under: 129-131 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 397-436 (.477)

Sunday, February 6, 2011
Super Bowl XLV at Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX

Green Bay 21, Pittsburgh 19

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL NFL

Pittsburgh vs. Green Bay

The Steelers look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 playoff games. Pittsburgh is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 6
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (1/24)
Game 101-102: Pittsburgh vs. Green Bay (6:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 141.498; Green Bay 142.509
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

10* G.O.M! Green Bay Packers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Michael Anthony

early release
Green Bay Packers ML

 

[LarsonVonFuqua]

Double dragon nfl

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

HYDRA
PACKERS -PK (-135) vs steelers
SoumiSoumiSoumi

 

[OpW]

Prediction Machine 10-0 on sides in the playoffs

Green Bay-2.5 margin 3.7 55.7%

over/under Line 45 prediction 41.2 UNDER 58.9%

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

What If Sports Prediction:
After 2,500 simulations, the following results were produced:

Pitt Wins 52.5%
GB Wins 47.5%

Average Score: Pitt 21 GB 20

-What If Sports correctly predicted 6/10 playoff games straight up
-What If Sports correctly predicted the last two Superbowls
-Both teams are so evenly matched that it might come down to who has the ball last

-At this point, Pitt looks good with +3​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness' 10* PERFECT STORM-Super Bowl XLV (80% NFL run!)

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pit Steelers at 6:30 ET in Super Bowl XLV.

 

[dough]

teddy covers---g.bay

teddy covers---over

 

[OpW]

Madden 2011

Steelers 24 - Packers 20

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

john harrison

Packers

Over


Props
James jones over 3 receptions (-125)
Big Ben over 11.5 yards rushing (-130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SportsBetDominator

NFL SUPER BOWL
Steelers/Packers UNDER 46

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LEM BANKER

30 UNIT* Pittsburgh Steelers

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

EA SPORTS Madden NFL 11 Predicts Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl XLV

02/01/11 9:25 AM


ShareThis

In a battle of storied NFL franchises, the Pittsburgh Steelers win their record seventh Vince Lombardi Trophy, defeating the Green Bay Packers 24-20 in Super Bowl XLV, according to the annual EA SPORTSTM Super Bowl Simulation powered by Madden NFL 11.
Down 13-17 going into the fourth quarter, Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers hit James Jones in the end zone to put the Pack up by three points with nine minutes left in the game. The defense for both teams kept the score tight throughout most of the fourth quarter, with neither willing to budge. After the two minute warning, Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger hit Mike Wallace on a slant, and the wide receiver's world-class speed helped outrace the Packers defense for a 36 yard touchdown pass; giving Pittsburgh the lead with 1:20 left on the clock. With no timeouts, Rodgers led Green Bay into Pittsburgh territory as the nail-biting contest drew to a close. In a last second desperation attempt, Rodgers targeted receiver Jordy Nelson, but Steelers safety, Ryan Clark, picked off the pass, clinching Pittsburgh's Super Bowl XLV victory. Pittsburgh wide receiver Mike Wallace was named Super Bowl MVP with five catches for 111 total yards and a touchdown.
Box Score

1
2
3
4
TOTAL
Steelers
7
3
7
7
24
Packers
0
7
6
7
20​

1st Quarter

• 12:37 PIT FGS. Suisham missed 41 Yd
• 7:58 PIT INT T. Polamalu, Intercepts ball on own 43
• 2:55 PIT TDR. Mendenhall, 2 Yd run (Suisham kick)

2nd Quarter

• 12:41 PIT FG S. Suisham, 32 Yd FG
• 8:46 GB FG M. Crosby missed 44 Yd FG
• 1:29 GB INTA.J. Hawk, Intercepts ball on Pittsburgh 39
• 0:26 GB TDG. Jennings, 12 Yd pass from A. Rodgers (M. Crosby kick)

3rd Quarter

• 8:59 PIT TDH. Ward, 17 Yd pass from B. Roethlisberger (Suisham kick)
• 5:10 GB FG M. Crosby, 49 Yd FG
• 1:16 GB FGM. Crosby, 38 Yd FG

4th Quarter

• 9:00 GB TD J. Jones, 9 Yd pass from A. Rodgers (M. Crosby kick)
• 1:20 PIT TDM. Wallace, 36 Yd pass from B. Roethlisberger (Suisham kick)
• 0:20 PIT INTR. Clark, Intercepts ball on own 20

Earlier this season, Madden NFL 11 simulated the entire NFL season and correctly predicted the Green Bay Packers as the NFC Champion. Dating back to Super Bowl XXXVIII, EA SPORTS has conducted the annual Super Bowl simulation using the latest iteration of the Madden NFL franchise. The Super Bowl XLV simulation was conducted utilizing artificial intelligence powered by real-life data from each team to determine player ratings, and includes variances, such as injuries, to predict the outcome. Six out of the last seven Super Bowl champions have been accurately predicted by Madden NFL. Previous results include:

• Super Bowl XXXVIII - Patriots 23, Panthers 20
  • Actual Score: Patriots 32, Panthers 29
• Super Bowl XXXIX - Patriots 47, Eagles 31
  • Actual score: Patriots 24, Eagles 21
• Super Bowl XL - Steelers 24, Seahawks 19
  • Actual score: Steelers 21, Seahawks 10
• Super Bowl XLI - Colts 38, Bears 27
  • Actual score: Colts 29, Bears 17
• Super Bowl XLIII - Steelers 28, Cardinals 24
  • Actual score: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
• Super Bowl XLIV - Saints 35, Colts 31
  • Actual score: Saints 31, Colts 17

 

[OpW]

Wunderdog

Packers ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LENNY DEL GEINO

Will there be a defensive/special teams TD scored in the game? Yes +145 | No -170

We like to look for at least a few props where we can get 'plus money.' This is one such opportunity. Both teams ranked in the top six in the league in takeaways with the Steelers forcing 35 and the Packers 32. In the respective conference championship games, both teams scored a defensive TD. Last time Pittsburgh was in a Super Bowl, James Harrison returned an INT nearly 100 yards for a touchdown. Last time Green Bay was in a Super Bowl, return specialist Desmond Howard returned a punt for a TD. In last year's Super Bowl, the Saints clinched victory over Colts with an INT return for a TD. +145 odds is great value.

2. Which will be the highest scoring quarter? 1st Q +400 | 2nd Q +160 | 3rd Q +400 | 4th Q +200

Again, we are trying to look for 'plus money.' We looked over the last three Super Bowls and found there has been a disproportionate amount of scoring in the 4th quarter. In fact, those three fourth quarters saw: 15, 24 and 21 points scored. In sum, of the 129 points scored the last three Super Bowls, 59 of them were scored in the final quarter. There is always a feeling out process early in the game.